Scenario planning

Official

Official · updated Nov 4, 2026 · v1.0.1

Builds four scenarios from two critical uncertainties around one decision, tests the decision in each, and ends with signposts, robust moves, and contingent moves.

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When to use it

Before a long, hard-to-reverse commitment such as a lease, plant, or new country
The team argues about one forecast and the answer is 'it depends'
An annual strategy review in a market that could shift

What you give it

The decision and its time horizon
Known trends, rules, technology, and customer facts
The current plan or options
Who will use the scenarios

What you get

A focal question, forces split into predetermined elements and critical uncertainties, a 2x2 of four named scenarios, the decision tested in each, signposts, and robust and contingent moves.

Changelog

v1.0.1 · Nov 4, 2026 · Example: both predetermined elements (fewer people aged 20 to 39, better machine translation) now appear in all four scenarios, as the skill's own rule requires.
v1.0.0 · Nov 4, 2026 · First release.

Sources

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